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Ukraine Situation Report | 18 November 2022

18 November 2022

The last week in Ukraine has seen the war there come the closest it’s come yet to taking what would be a majorly severe turn of events: international escalation. A missile strike which killed two Polish civilians in Polish territory on Tuesday immediately drew global concern amid speculation that Russia could have done the unthinkable in striking a NATO member amid its invasion of Ukraine. So far, Moscow has deliberately been intensely careful not to initiate war with NATO, despite the alliance’s expansion into eastern Europe in part motivating Russia’s invasion earlier this year. Such a move on Russia’s part would trigger a wider international conflict – a scenario which many have theorised would effectively turn the war in Ukraine into ‘World War Three’.

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